Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.335400 4.480014e-01 0.578493 0.738598 0.927442 1.140889 1.398128
2025-11-30 0.203862 3.438260e-01 0.530732 0.787829 1.121602 1.530078 2.057236
2025-12-07 0.120818 2.631080e-01 0.482608 0.817870 1.289725 1.904466 2.739312
2025-12-14 0.067677 1.979056e-01 0.432001 0.827200 1.424698 2.245021 3.405567
2025-12-21 0.033963 1.432002e-01 0.376283 0.811548 1.515378 2.527999 4.011946
2025-12-28 0.017486 1.105408e-01 0.345449 0.825036 1.644944 2.869205 4.712582
2026-01-04 0.007845 8.339172e-02 0.313161 0.826091 1.750370 3.177934 5.379753
2026-01-11 0.002467 5.816993e-02 0.271688 0.798229 1.800904 3.403469 5.934663
2026-01-18 0.000513 4.060636e-02 0.238769 0.777683 1.857740 3.637609 6.507859
2026-01-25 0.000057 3.018996e-02 0.219997 0.781928 1.956457 3.939832 7.190709
2026-02-01 NaN 1.957496e-02 0.190492 0.752838 1.987925 4.132664 7.712922
2026-02-08 NaN 1.604989e-02 0.187670 0.788486 2.145300 4.537797 8.571319
2026-02-15 NaN 1.117267e-02 0.172798 0.790476 2.239122 4.846204 9.299039
2026-02-22 NaN 9.873113e-03 0.177822 0.848866 2.452147 5.366063 10.373978
2026-03-01 NaN 7.825373e-03 0.175028 0.884094 2.619754 5.814536 11.348957
2026-03-08 NaN 5.475963e-03 0.165206 0.895802 2.738242 6.182036 12.204949
2026-03-15 NaN 3.174991e-03 0.148273 0.880189 2.795678 6.443731 12.897679
2026-03-22 NaN 2.094306e-03 0.141153 0.894953 2.920283 6.828184 13.796858
2026-03-29 NaN 1.193637e-03 0.131086 0.896319 3.013901 7.159058 14.615176
2026-04-05 NaN 4.501019e-04 0.114300 0.866936 3.033227 7.354383 15.214816
2026-04-12 NaN 1.311428e-04 0.100875 0.845223 3.067459 7.576871 15.863013
2026-04-19 NaN 3.790370e-05 0.094269 0.849756 3.164894 7.919684 16.718268
2026-04-26 NaN 7.550563e-07 0.081047 0.818926 3.171359 8.090081 17.286774